Thesis Q&A

For questions about the thesis, the research, or the acquisition strategy: brad@projectcoa.org

From stakeholder economics, not from operational changes the business deliberately makes. When customers, employees, suppliers, and other stakeholders see that profits fund charity rather than private shareholders, their preferences activate. The fundamentals — products, prices, operating playbook, management — stay the same. What shifts are the inputs to the P&L: cheaper customer acquisition, easier hiring at competitive wages, lower turnover, more earned media replacing some paid marketing, better supplier terms. The business runs the same way; the advantages available to it change.

On thin margins, modest input changes compound. As an illustrative example, take a business with $10M in net revenue and a 5% net margin: $500K in profit. If charitable ownership produces a 5% lift in net revenue and a 3% reduction in operating costs, net revenue rises to $10.5M, operating costs fall from $9.5M to roughly $9.215M, and profit rises to about $1.29M — a 158% increase from a 5% revenue lift and a 3% cost reduction. The specific input numbers are not forecasts; they are illustrative arithmetic showing how operating leverage works on thin margins. Quantifying the actual input shifts under deliberate, instrumented conditions is what Project COA is being built to produce.

There is a separate, jurisdiction-specific source of distributable cash in the first test market: the Australian tax floor (see Q8). That floor is what makes the bet asymmetric, but it is structurally distinct from the COA thesis itself. The COA thesis is the stakeholder claim. The tax floor is downside protection in the first jurisdiction.

What is being tested is the stakeholder mechanism. If it works at anything close to the scale documented preferences predict, the result reshapes how philanthropic capital can be deployed.

In modern capitalism, no — and the larger the business, the more obviously this is true.

Public companies are the cleanest case. The largest businesses in the world are owned by millions of dispersed shareholders who take no part in operations. Professional management runs the business; shareholders hold residual claims on profit. Ownership and operations are functionally separate, which is why public markets work at all.

Equity compensation is the main coupling mechanism. Even a small stake can give a CEO strong operating incentives while leaving most shares in the hands of people with no operating or governance role. Concretely: 1% of a $10 billion company is $100 million — enough to align a chief executive’s incentives with firm performance, while the remaining 99% of equity sits with shareholders who have nothing to do with management and, in most cases, nothing to do with governance. The coupling is real, but it sits in compensation rather than in broad ownership. Charitable ownership doesn’t disturb that structure. A Profit for Good business can grant management equity, performance bonuses, or employee profit-sharing on standard terms. Dedicating a large committed share of profits to charity leaves room for these compensation instruments; in some structures, profit-sharing with employees is itself part of the design — a 50/50 split between charitable distributions and employee profit-sharing is fully compatible with the model and may strengthen it by stacking economic alignment on top of mission alignment.

The same separation operates at smaller scales. Private equity is the canonical case: limited partners supply most of the capital and own most of the economics of the portfolio companies through the fund, while the general partners run operations and hold a small GP stake plus carried interest. Operational control and economic ownership are deliberately separated, and the model works. Family office buyouts, ESOPs, search funds, holding companies — the entire economy runs on the principle that ownership and operations are functionally separate. A charitable trust as the residual claimant is no different in operational terms from a PE fund or a holding company.

There is one real constraint worth naming, which is financial rather than operational. The share of the business committed irrevocably to charity cannot simultaneously be granted to employees or sold to outside investors, which caps the residual available for broad employee equity or outside equity raises. Within that cap, everything else works: management equity, performance bonuses, and employee profit-sharing on standard terms. A 50/50 charity-plus-employee structure, for instance, is fully compatible with the model. What isn’t possible is putting 100% of the residual into each bucket. Project COA’s capital pathways are designed around this.

It operates at a different layer.

Profit for Good businesses change who receives the residual profits without changing how the business operates. Same products, same prices, same supply chain, same management. The business competes on identical commercial fundamentals — and then captures the stakeholder advantage on top of that competitive parity. There are no operational tradeoffs to absorb.

B Corps, social enterprises, and ethical businesses operate at the operations layer. They change how a business runs — sourcing more sustainable materials, paying higher wages, offering better benefits, donating a percentage of revenue, building community partnerships. These operational changes create real social value, and they often involve real tradeoffs: higher input costs, narrower margins, slower growth, or premium pricing.

The ownership layer is orthogonal to the operations layer. A B Corp could be a Profit for Good business. A social enterprise could be a Profit for Good business. The two approaches compose rather than competing. The Charitable Ownership Advantage thesis identifies a separate, undertested mechanism that does not require operating tradeoffs to activate.

Several factors plausibly contribute.

The first is that skepticism about “ethical business” is largely earned — but aimed at the wrong layer. Investors and philanthropists have learned to be cautious of mission-driven businesses because most visible examples operate at the operations layer: Fair Trade sourcing, sustainable materials, premium wages, cause-linked donations. These models involve real tradeoffs — higher input costs, narrower margins, premium pricing — and if the tradeoffs consistently produced better performance, they would be the industry standard rather than “ethical business.” The persistence of the skeptical prior is evidence that people are reasoning correctly about the operations layer. It is also evidence, separately, that stakeholder preference for ethical positioning is real: ESG and B Corp certification would not be marketed as aggressively as they are if the preference weren’t there. The Charitable Ownership Advantage thesis says those preferences are real and the operational tradeoffs aren’t necessary, because the change sits at a different layer entirely. Skeptics applying the earned critique to this model are applying a valid argument to the wrong object.

The second is a structural blind spot in foundation operations. Foundation innovation has historically focused on the grant side — what gets funded, how impact is measured, which causes get prioritized. The investment side has stayed almost entirely conventional. Foundation endowments, collectively in the trillions, are managed by conventional investment teams using conventional asset classes. The investment side is treated as a separate function whose job is to preserve and grow the endowment so the grant side has more to spend. The idea that the form of the investment itself could be a philanthropic instrument has barely been considered. Program-Related Investments are the partial exception, but they are tiny relative to overall endowment assets and they are typically structured as concessionary capital.

The third is a category problem. Charity-owned businesses can’t easily access conventional capital because conventional investors don’t know how to evaluate them. They can’t easily access philanthropic capital because foundation investment teams aren’t organized to acquire operating businesses. They sit in a category with no name, no certification infrastructure, and no clear precedent. Each existing example — Bosch, Newman’s Own, Patagonia, Humanitix — emerged for idiosyncratic governance reasons rather than as a deliberate test.

Underneath all three factors is a more basic absence: the Charitable Ownership Advantage has not previously been articulated as a thesis. The evidence base has accumulated quietly across adjacent fields — consumer research on charity-linked products, labor research on mission alignment, procurement research on social credentials — without anyone pulling the threads together into a single claim about charity-owned businesses generating structurally superior returns. When a thesis hasn’t been named, the experiment to test it won’t be designed.

There is one more possibility a skeptical reader might reach for: that smart money has already studied this and silently concluded the math doesn’t pencil after acquisition premiums and operating risk. We don’t find this persuasive. There is little evidence of sustained institutional exploration — foundation investment teams remain organized around conventional asset classes, the existence proofs arose from idiosyncratic governance histories rather than deliberate tests, and the category lacks the certification infrastructure that would indicate a studied and dismissed opportunity. The pattern looks like something overlooked rather than something tested and failed.

The substantive concern underneath the framing is worth engaging directly, though: acquisition premiums in the lower-middle market can absorb a meaningful fraction of any COA margin lift, and net returns depend on whether stakeholder activation exceeds those frictions. Quantifying that net effect — lift minus premium minus governance and operating friction — is part of what the first instrumented acquisitions are designed to measure.

Whatever the reasons, the opportunity has been visible for decades and the experiment has not been run. Project COA’s job is to run it and produce evidence strong enough to settle the question.

A substantial body of measured behavior across multiple stakeholder channels. The full evidence base is compiled in our research synthesis (link to compilation). A few specific anchors:

On consumer behavior: in a widely cited eBay field experiment, charity-linked listings showed roughly seven percentage points higher sale probability than identical non-charity listings from the same sellers (Elfenbein et al., 2012). A Fair Trade labeling field experiment found approximately 10% sales lifts at price parity, demonstrating that the mechanism operates across adjacent ethical dimensions (Hainmueller, Hiscox & Sequeira, 2015).

On labor markets: online labor-marketplace field experiments show workers submitting substantially lower wage bids for prosocial employers (Burbano, 2016); longitudinal wage data across 42,000+ U.S. workers documents a sustained 4–7% wage differential for mission alignment (Macpherson et al., 2024); and in a natural field experiment in which researchers created an actual firm and hired real workers, CSR-framed job postings attracted 25% more applications and those applicants proved more productive once hired (Hedblom, Hickman & List, 2019).

On institutional procurement: controlled experiments with approximately 850 procurement professionals found buyers systematically favor sustainable suppliers when commercial terms are comparable, with weak sustainability performance penalized more heavily than strong performance is rewarded (Zhan et al., 2021).

On credit markets: a cross-country study of 411 listed firms found foundation-controlled companies had roughly 36% lower default probability and slightly better syndicated loan pricing than other firms (Buchanan & Kaya, 2024) — analog evidence that mission-locked ownership reduces the governance risks lenders price against.

On earned media: when Patagonia transferred ownership to a climate trust, purchase intent and job applications both rose with no product change and no price change.

Survey data confirms the same preferences across stakeholder types and geographies. Behavioral evidence and stated-preference evidence point in the same direction.

What this evidence establishes is that the underlying preferences are real, robust across contexts, and visible in observable behavior. What it doesn’t yet do is quantify how large the effect becomes under deliberate, instrumented conditions — how much customer acquisition cost actually drops, how much retention actually improves, how much earned media is actually generated, and how those shifts translate into measurable financial performance over time. Producing that quantification is what Project COA is built to do.

Two reasons. The first is epistemic: without quantification, the difference between a real effect and motivated overreading of preference data is invisible. Serious allocators apply this standard to themselves, and Project COA has to meet it before asking anyone else to act on its findings.

The second is that the philanthropic capital that could deploy this strategy moves on quantified, before-and-after measurement that fits into existing investment decision frameworks. Foundation investment committees need to model expected returns, compare against alternatives, and defend their choices. Donor-advised fund advisors need credible numbers to justify recommendations. Lenders need cash flow projections and risk profiles built on measured performance. Without quantification, COA stays a compelling argument that nobody acts on. With quantification, it becomes a deployable strategy.

The question Project COA exists to answer isn’t whether stakeholder preferences exist — that’s well-documented. The question is how large the effect is under deliberate, instrumented conditions, how it varies across sectors and charitable commitment levels, and how it translates into financial performance over time. That is what investment committees and credit markets need before they move capital.

This is also why Project COA’s commitment to publishing results regardless of outcome matters. Quantification is useful when the answers are favorable, when they are mixed, and when they are surprising. The goal is a credible body of measured evidence that institutional capital can act on.

Project COA pre-registers measurement protocols on each acquisition with predicted effect sizes specified in advance. Observed-versus-predicted comparisons are published regardless of outcome. The most direct form of falsification is whether the predicted effects show up in the data, and at what magnitude.

A single failed acquisition isn’t decisive on its own. Stakeholder activation depends on visibility, sector fit, communication, measurement timing, and a number of other implementation variables — any of which can go wrong in a particular case. But repeated failures across multiple well-executed acquisitions, where the implementation variables look right and the measured effects still don’t appear, would be meaningful evidence that the translation from documented preference to financial outcome doesn’t occur reliably at deployable scale.

The serious version of the concern worth naming is about scale and aggregation. The preferences are well-documented at the individual level — consumers, employees, suppliers, lenders. What remains genuinely open is how large the effect becomes when activated through ownership conversion, how durable it is across sectors and conditions, and how it compares to the acquisition and governance costs of the conversion itself. Pre-registered protocols are the discipline that distinguishes implementation problems from deeper ones, and commit us in advance to what would count as evidence the mechanism doesn’t translate at scale.

One specific tax provision makes Australia the cleanest first test.

Under Division 50 of the Australian Income Tax Assessment Act, businesses owned by registered charities pay no corporate income tax. This is a structural feature of Australian tax law for charity-owned commercial activity. Avoiding a 25–30% corporate tax means a charity-owned business retains all of its pretax profit instead of 70–75%, which translates into roughly 33–43% more distributable cash than an identically performing conventional competitor, before any stakeholder preference activates.

That tax floor is what makes the bet asymmetric. If the COA thesis is wrong and stakeholder preferences fail to materially improve the business, the foundation still owns a profitable business generating substantial charitable distributions from the tax retention alone. The downside is bounded by a structural feature of Australian tax law, not by the success of the thesis being tested.

The tax floor also gives the experiment a clean baseline. Any financial outperformance above the 33–43% structural advantage is attributable to the stakeholder mechanism rather than to tax treatment. That separation is essential for measurement and attribution — and it is the reason the tax floor is architecturally distinct from COA, not part of it.

Other jurisdictions may offer favorable structures for charity-owned commercial activity. Australia is the cleanest starting point.

The downside is bounded, and the cost of running the tests is small relative to the capital base that could ultimately deploy this strategy.

Global philanthropic capital is measured in trillions across foundation endowments, donor-advised funds, and investing-to-give portfolios that sit in conventional investments waiting to generate returns that will eventually be donated. Properly instrumented Project COA tests would use a tiny fraction of that pool. The opportunity cost is negligible relative to either outcome.

If the tests show that COA works, those same trillions become deployable into a strategy that generates structurally better charitable returns than existing investing-to-give vehicles. Foundations gain a new asset class. Donors gain a new pathway. Capital already committed to eventual charitable use can be redeployed into a structure that produces more charity per dollar over the lifetime of the deployment. And conventional credit markets can leverage philanthropic capital by lending against the tax floor and the demonstrated cash flows, multiplying philanthropic deployment.

If the tests show that COA doesn’t work — or works less powerfully than predicted — the foundation still owns a profitable business generating above-market charitable distributions from the tax retention alone. That isn’t a failure; it is an unusually attractive philanthropic investment that didn’t also prove a thesis. For lenders financing these acquisitions, the implication is parallel: the Australian tax floor supports debt service coverage even if the stakeholder thesis fails entirely, and senior secured lending sits ahead of charitable distributions in the capital stack, so the lender’s downside is protected by a structural feature of tax law rather than by the success of the mechanism being tested.

In the upside case, the tests unlock a new deployment pathway for trillions in philanthropic capital. In the downside case, the foundation owns a profitable Australian business producing 33–43% more charitable distributions than its conventional competitors. The cost of finding out is small relative to either outcome.

Most large philanthropic capital doesn’t go directly to charities. It sits in foundation endowments, donor-advised funds, and conventional investment portfolios, generating returns that will eventually be donated. Trillions of dollars are already in this investing-to-give mode — the practice of holding philanthropic capital in conventional investments and donating the returns later.

The standard approach is straightforward: deploy capital into conventional investments — index funds, public equities, real estate, private equity — earn market returns, and donate the returns later.

If the thesis holds, COA offers a structurally superior path for that same capital: deploy it into charitable ownership of profitable businesses instead. The capital accesses returns conventional investors cannot access, because the competitive advantage requires the owner to actually be charitable. The charity receives ongoing distributions throughout the holding period rather than waiting for a future liquidity event. The deployable capital is preserved or repaid (donated capital is, of course, still donated).

For impact debt capital specifically, the relevant comparison isn’t to conventional investing-to-give vehicles but to other impact debt deals. What distinguishes a Project COA acquisition from other impact debt is the stakeholder preference advantage itself — a competitive mechanism that operates wherever charity-owned commercial activity is legally possible, and that is the engine of the strategy as it scales beyond any single jurisdiction. On top of that, in the first test market, there is a structural tax floor: Division 50 treatment produces roughly 33–43% more distributable cash than a conventional competitor, independent of whether the stakeholder mechanism activates. For a lender, the result is different in kind from standard impact debt — the protection comes from Australian tax law rather than from sector-specific operating resilience, and the underlying return mechanism is globally scalable rather than location-bound.

Same intent. Same dollars. More charity from the same deployment.

Each acquisition is independently financed and independently attractive. New donations, foundation deployments, and loans flow in based on demonstrated performance.

The bigger scale story isn’t Project COA growing. It is the field unlocking.

Once the thesis is proven and documented, Project COA becomes infrastructure others can use: publishable legal templates, measurement protocols, capital-sourcing playbooks, and case studies. Other philanthropists, foundations, and family offices can replicate the model directly without needing Project COA’s involvement. Copycats are not a threat — they are the point.

Project COA doesn’t need to do every acquisition. It needs to prove the model rigorously enough that the existing capital infrastructure starts deploying on its own. The capital already committed to eventual charitable use doesn’t need new institutions to deploy it; it needs a credible thesis and a documented playbook. Project COA’s job is to provide both.

If the thesis is right, success will look less like one fund scaling and more like a field emerging: new entrants, specialized acquirers, certification systems, and conventional credit markets lending against the thesis. The aim is not Project COA at scale, but philanthropic finance at scale.